Monthly Archive for August, 2007

Nigerian oil, human rights and other news…

Looks like an interesting news day today.

Energy starved North Korea is looking to Nigeria for an oil investment?

ABUJA (Reuters) - Nigeria will send a high-level delegation to North Korea to discuss attracting investment in Nigerian energy and natural gas, President Umaru Yar’Adua has said.

Nigeria is the fifth largest oil supplier to the United States and an ally of Washington, but it also maintains warm relations with the secretive Stalinist state as a fellow member of the Non-Aligned Movement.

That’s so sweet, but then there is a tidbit I never heard of:

In 2004 North Korea, which tested a nuclear device for the first time in October 2006, offered to share missile technology with Nigeria as part of a wide-ranging military cooperation agreement. It is unclear if it went ahead after Washington opposed it.

All of this globetrotting is making my head hurt, but the summit seems to be on the top of the agenda. Human rights activists want Roh to talk to Kim about the human rights issue:

The groups appealed to the government at least to put pressure on North Korea to cease public executions and punishment of repatriated North Korean defectors. They also called for the abolition of North Korean concentration camps for political prisoners, the repatriation of South Korean prisoners of war and South Koreans abducted by North Korea in the 1960s, and religious freedom for North Koreans. Kim Sang-chul, the chairman of Save North Korea, said if the South Korean government declines to accept the groups’ demands, they will continue to fight “by legal and appropriate means.”

The question is, will it happen? Only time will tell, but I have my doubts. In Japan, after a long embargo with aid to the North are considering aid for the flood. This is an unusual move:

TOKYO, August 29 (RIA Novosti) - Japan is debating whether to lift a three-year embargo on humanitarian aid to North Korea, Tokyo financial newspaper Nikkei quoted the new foreign minister as saying Wednesday.

“The UN and other humanitarian organizations have called for help,” Nobutaka Machimura said. “In view of the distress caused by the recent natural disaster, surely we should not to tie everything to the problem of the abductees.”

Pyongyang has acknowledged that it kidnapped at least 13 Japanese nationals. Five were eventually repatriated, while the remaining eight reportedly died in the interim. The released abductees said they had been forced to train North Koreans to spy against Japan.

Japan has not accepted North Korean assertions that the matter is now closed, insisting that many more of its citizens remain unaccounted for.

The topic will be among the main items on the agenda at bilateral working group talks between Tokyo and Pyongyang September 5-6 in the Mongolian capital, Ulan Bator, as part of the six-party negotiations on North Korea’s nuclear disarmament.

But North Korea wants billions for the occupation of Korea, so this is a very touchy issue. Again, time will tell if the issue will be resolved, but in my opinion will be a long time.

Also check out this story on DPRK Studies regarding the investment issue with China and North Korea.

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The Path to Succession: The Path to Collapse (update)

Coat of armsAnother very good possibility in the North Korea saga is the eventual collapse of the regime instead of the continuation of the Kim dynasty. This possibility has been speculated for the last fifteen years or so, and with all the huge events that took place that could have very well have led to collapse, the regime survived. For over 65 years, North Korea has held firm control over everything, and appears to still be in control. However, in my mind, it is not a question of if the DPRK will collapse, it is a matter of when. Today, I explore the possible scenarios on how North Korea could dissolve and what the possible outcomes could be. There are many theories and very few options. However, in my opinion, the regime will fade regardless of when the region is ready, and like many other things in life, it comes when it is least expected and the least convenient. If Eastern Europe and Russia are any indicators of how North Korea will fall apart, then it could very well be unexpected yet expected fate. On the other hand, Korea is way different from the way other Communist regimes were (and are) run.

Please be aware this is an ongoing research project, and information contained in this post may have glaring factual or missing information that I may not be aware of. If anybody has any insight that will make me better understand it, please say so in the comments and I will love to take your views into consideration and learn something. That is the whole goal of this blog.

Continue reading ‘The Path to Succession: The Path to Collapse (update)’

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Communism: The Promise and the Reality

This six part series on the history of communism is very good and I highly recommend it:

Communism - the extraordinary social experiment promising equality and freedom swept from Russia around the world. In the early days hopes were high, but in the end the story of Communism is one of grim realities. Listen as people from behind the Iron Curtain tell how their lives were affected by this new world order, from the storming of the Winter Palace in Tzarist Russia in 1917 to the swift implosion of communist regimes around the world in the 1980s. Includes: Red Flag, Brave New World, Fallout, Great Leap, Guerrilla Wars, and People Power.

It is not very expensive and is about six hours long. Enjoy!

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DPRK issues new currency

That’s right folks. Kim Jong Il has decided to issue new currency, and is holding nothing back. Yes, he shows his best side for the portrait too. His dad would be so proud.funnymoney2.jpg

Full Size here just for laughs.

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North Korea in pictures

Here is a Flickr page filled with excellent photos of North Korea. It is worth the look. Check it out. From Are you NKay blog.

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Propaganda Time!

What better than to add to the happiness of your day than watching the smiling moon faces of the leaders doing everything but walk on water? Oh wait, are there stories like that?

No matter. Enjoy the show…

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The Path To Succession: Information Infiltration

DefectorThe cracks in the regime have been widening for some time, and the age of information cannot be suppressed even in the ultra-reclusive policies of North Korea. In days past, the suppression of information was very successful. There are a lot of variables in the succession question, and this could very well be one of them. Today, I explore the infiltration of information, the media and defectors and how it may undermine the legitimacy of the Kim family cult.

As Richardson pointed out in the comments in the last posting, North Korea was not always as bad as it is today. It was a slow downturn over the years and accelerated in the 1990’s when famines and mismanagement took its toll. The collapse of the Soviet Union did not help matters either. During the early days, North Korea had several sets of plans that rapidly built North Korea, and suggested North Korea was better off than the South. In 2002, more sets of reforms took place and in my opinion, were largely unsuccessful (The food, medical, supply, trade and other sectors are still a mess). To get a better understanding of the famines and reforms in 2002, please take a look at Marcus Noland’s book. It talks about it in very vivid detail. Furthermore, you also would want to check out One Free Korea’s postings on Marcus Noland and Stephen Haggard’s book “Famine in North Korea: Markets, Aid and Reform” to gain a better picture.

Continue reading ‘The Path To Succession: Information Infiltration’

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The Path to Succession: More Unconfirmed Rumors (Update)

Kim Jong NamKim Jong Nam, thought of as out of the race is rumored to be back in the race according to unconfirmed reports by the Associated Press:

SEOUL, South Korea: The eldest son of North Korean leader Kim Jong Il has returned home after spending years abroad in a move that could be linked to the ruler’s plans to choose an heir, a man close to Kim’s son said Monday.

Kim Jong Nam, 36, traveled from China to Pyongyang in late June, and his return “has decisive relations to the power transfer,” the man told The Associated Press by telephone from the United States. He asked not to be named, citing the sensitivity of the issue.

South Korea’s top spy agency, the National Intelligence Service, declined to confirm the son’s return.

Kim Jong Il has not yet publicly named an heir, prompting speculation abroad about who might eventually take the reclusive country’s helm — and whether Kim will designate one of his sons as the next leader, continuing the world’s only communist dynasty.

So the rumors fly again, and there is still no official word. Time will tell if he is really nerxt in line, any plans or different plans altogether. I will watch the propaganda machine and see if there are any Kim Jong nam portraits hanging around or Kim Jong Il finally announces something in the Juche Congress.

Looks like Kim Jong Nam is working in the Organization and Guidance Department of the Workers Party Of Korea:

SEOUL (AFP) - The eldest son of North Korean leader Kim Jong-Il is back in the succession race after returning from exile overseas and taking an influential post with the ruling communist party, a report said Monday.

Kim Jong-Nam, 36, began work at the party’s organisation and guidance department after his return around June, said South Korea’s largest-circulation daily Chosun Ilbo, quoting an intelligence source.

The department is “the key agency” that controls all of the party, the military and the government, according to Chosun.

The National Intelligence Service, Seoul’s main spy agency, refused to comfirm the news report.

Of course. Kim Jong Nam was asked the question too, and of course denied it as well:

When asked about the possibility of his succession to North Korea’s leadership, he said that he had nothing to say on the matter.

Developing…

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Kim Jong Il first visit since floods

… Kim Jong Il is making cultural and art inspections, reported the Chosun (North Korea) Central News Agency on 23rd. This is the first known public appearance by Kim Jong Il after North Korea’s flood.

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Oh My News Video: Why did 90,000 Japanese defect to NK in the 1960’s and 70’s?

Oh My News International Korea:

Tessa Morris-Suzuki is Professor of Japanese History, Convenor of the Division of Pacific and Asian History in the College of Asia and the Pacific, Australian National University.

A North Korean Mystery


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I should look more into this. It seems very interesting. It seems like a video summary of a book of which I now want to read but do not have the cash for right now, but for those of you with a little cash to spare, this may be worth a look:Amazon link to Exodus to North Korea:

Through travels that range from Geneva to Pyongyang, this remarkable book takes readers on an odyssey through one of the most extraordinary forgotten tragedies of the Cold War the return of over 90,000 people, most of them ethnic Koreans, from Japan to North Korea from 1959 onward. For most, their new home proved a place of poverty and hardship; for thousands, it was a place of persecution and death. In rediscovering their extraordinary personal stories, this book also casts new light on the politics of the Cold War, and on present-day tensions between North Korea and the rest of the world.

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